Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.159528 0.187899 0.219607 0.257639 0.301986 0.352036 0.412780
2025-10-05 0.122537 0.160626 0.207677 0.269934 0.350011 0.449407 0.582018
2025-10-12 0.103381 0.146666 0.204224 0.286061 0.399106 0.549412 0.764067
2025-10-19 0.088015 0.133317 0.197335 0.293899 0.435302 0.634135 0.934202
2025-10-26 0.074782 0.119984 0.187356 0.294363 0.459213 0.702529 1.087636
2025-11-02 0.062455 0.105612 0.173136 0.285528 0.466806 0.746312 1.208044
2025-11-09 0.051740 0.091880 0.157579 0.271784 0.463956 0.772405 1.302356
2025-11-16 0.045534 0.084561 0.151125 0.271496 0.481982 0.832338 1.456014
2025-11-23 0.039216 0.076017 0.141301 0.263890 0.486229 0.869285 1.574415
2025-11-30 0.035748 0.072090 0.138936 0.268874 0.512565 0.945830 1.768137
2025-12-07 0.032117 0.067290 0.134282 0.268911 0.529637 1.007366 1.940927
2025-12-14 0.028241 0.061422 0.126808 0.262538 0.533724 1.045341 2.073767
2025-12-21 0.025046 0.056681 0.121319 0.260189 0.546954 1.104886 2.260281
2025-12-28 0.023680 0.055650 0.123245 0.273254 0.592793 1.232743 2.595467
2026-01-04 0.022712 0.055328 0.126573 0.289632 0.647348 1.383630 2.993326
2026-01-11 0.021136 0.053358 0.126050 0.297569 0.684925 1.503974 3.341547
2026-01-18 0.019191 0.050196 0.122418 0.298040 0.706196 1.592430 3.631984
2026-01-25 0.016869 0.045723 0.115133 0.289098 0.705169 1.632841 3.822619
2026-02-01 0.014555 0.040884 0.106280 0.275188 0.690832 1.642188 3.944923
2026-02-08 0.013280 0.038551 0.103206 0.274896 0.708597 1.725488 4.244114
2026-02-15 0.011778 0.035352 0.097495 0.267199 0.707334 1.764597 4.444352
2026-02-22 0.011034 0.034149 0.096778 0.272244 0.738417 1.883218 4.846463
2026-03-01 0.010144 0.032377 0.094296 0.272281 0.756676 1.972725 5.187019